Bottom-Up Default Analysis (BuDA)


Let BuDA do the hard work for you and calculate the default risk of publicly listed firms in the economy, an industry, or a portfolio in each of your macrofinancial scenarios
Latest release: version 2.0; October 2017

About BuDA

The Bottom-Up Default
Analysis Tool and
current country coverage

BuDA is an analytical framework that allows economists and financial analysts to project the probability of default of publicly listed firms in an economy, an industrial sector, or a specified portfolio under user-specified macrofinancial scenarios.

BuDA is implemented as a fast and powerful Matlab-based platform and toolbox. Its current version includes 39 economies comprising close to 20,000 firms:

G-7 countries
Canada France Germany Italy Japan UK USA
Advanced Europe
Austria Belgium Finland Greece Ireland
Luxembourg Portugal Spain The Netherlands
Asia
China Hong Kong SAR Taiwan POC India Indonesia
Malaysia Singapore Thailand The Philippines
EMEA economies
Kenya Mauritius Nigeria South Africa Turkey
United Arab Emirates
Latin America and the Caribbean
Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Jamaica
Mexico Peru Venezuela

Countries not included in the above list can be added to BuDA upon request. Our database includes 110 economies so it is very likely that data for the country that interests you is available.

Please contact us to discuss further.

Credits and
citation

The BuDA platform was originally developed by Jin-Chuan Duan, Weimin Miao, and Jorge A. Chan-Lau as a cooperation project between the Credit Research Initiative of the Risk Management Institute at the National University of Singapore, and the Institute for Capacity and Development at the International Monetary Fund.

When using BuDA in your work, please cite it as:

Duan, J.-C., W. Miao, J.A. Chan-Lau, and the Credit Research Initiative of the National University of Singapore, 2017, BuDA: A Bottom-Up Default Analysis Framework, Matlab toolbox version 2.0.

Methodology

The theory and implementation details you need to know, and the User Manual you have to read

Step-by-step instructions for using BuDA
2018

Learn all the details about the PD model implementation underlying BuDA
2017

Explains the mixed-frequency regressionn technique BuDA applies to the risk factors.
2014

The model underlying the probability of default calculations in BuDA
Journal of Econometrics,2012

Surveillance

Examples of BuDA analysis in
macrofinancial surveillance

2016 Article IV Canada

Solvency risk in the oil and gas sector

2016 Article IV Chile

Stress tests and macrofinancial linkages

2016 Article IV Indonesia

Analysis of corporate vulnerabilities

2016 Article IV UAE

Financial stability under oil and rate shocks

2016 WHD Regional Outlook

Corporate solvency and bank exposures

2017 FSSA Japan

Stress tests and systemic risk analysis

Download
and run
BuDA

BuDA is available to Fund economists and analysts as a stand-alone Matlab toolbox. To run it, you need to have Matlab installed in your machine, including the Parallel Processing toolbox. The program should run using Matlab releases 2015 to 2017b.

Download instructions:

Because of its size, approximately 5 Gb, the BuDA toolbox is hosted in our servers. To obtain the link, please contact us to obtain the toolbox download link.

In your email, please include the following information:

  • Your name and contact information
  • Purpose of your analysis

This will help us arrange a brief consultation session to ensure you can get the most out of your BuDA analysis.

Team

Jin-Chuan Duan

Cycle and Carriage Professor of Finance
National University of Singapore

Weimin Miao

Founder and CEO, CriAT
Singapore

Jorge A. Chan-Lau

Senior Economist
International Monetary Fund

Wei Sun

Operations and IMF Cooperation Program Lead
Credit Research Initiative, National University of Singapore

Credit Research Initiative Team

Risk Management Institute
National University of Singapore

Topics

Choose your area of interest

Contact

Dr. Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Training Policy and Coordination
Institute for Capacity Development